tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5360142294752045303.post4709617456298361527..comments2023-10-27T00:23:53.774-07:00Comments on In Search of Normativity: Frequentist Magic vs. Bayesian MagicWei Daihttp://www.blogger.com/profile/12427403662583076992noreply@blogger.comBlogger4125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5360142294752045303.post-9609980478131535832022-03-03T05:24:07.645-08:002022-03-03T05:24:07.645-08:00The Wizard of Odds on the Wynn's Casino in Las...The Wizard of Odds on the Wynn's Casino in Las Vegas, NV<br />Wynn Las Vegas Casino is a massive resort located on the Las Vegas Strip <a href="https://drmcd.com/%ec%a0%95%ec%9d%8d%ec%b6%9c%ec%9e%a5%eb%a7%88%ec%82%ac%ec%a7%80%ea%b0%80%ec%9d%b4%eb%93%9c.html/" rel="nofollow">정읍 출장안마</a> in Paradise, Nevada. <a href="https://www.jtmhub.com/%eb%b6%80%ec%82%b0%ea%b4%91%ec%97%ad%ec%97%90-%eb%8c%80%ed%95%9c-%ec%9a%b0%ec%88%98%ed%95%9c%ec%b6%9c%ec%9e%a5%eb%a7%88%ec%82%ac%ec%a7%80%eb%a6%ac%eb%b7%b0.html/" rel="nofollow">부산광역 출장샵</a> The casino <a href="https://www.jtmhub.com/%ed%86%b5%ec%98%81%ec%b5%9c%ec%83%81%ec%9d%98-%ea%b4%80%eb%a6%ac%ec%b6%9c%ec%9e%a5%ec%95%88%eb%a7%88.html/" rel="nofollow">통영 출장안마</a> has a number <a href="https://drmcd.com/%eb%aa%a9%ed%8f%ac%ec%b6%9c%ec%9e%a5%ec%95%88%eb%a7%88.html/" rel="nofollow">목포 출장안마</a> of slot machines, <a href="https://www.jtmhub.com/%ea%b3%b5%ec%a3%bc%ec%b5%9c%ea%b3%a0%ec%8b%9c%ec%84%a4%ec%b6%9c%ec%9e%a5%ec%95%88%eb%a7%88.html/" rel="nofollow">공주 출장안마</a> including blackjack,gardinasabeyhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/08909439340730905194noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5360142294752045303.post-83312746248467391422010-04-08T16:45:40.230-07:002010-04-08T16:45:40.230-07:00Toby, this was a preview draft of a post for Less ...Toby, this was a preview draft of a post for Less Wrong. Sorry I didn't make that clear. (That's mostly what I'm using my personal blog for these days.) You might want to repost your comments to the <a href="http://lesswrong.com/lw/21c/frequentist_magic_vs_bayesian_magic/" rel="nofollow">Less Wrong post</a>.Wei Daihttps://www.blogger.com/profile/12427403662583076992noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5360142294752045303.post-64531961461675044462010-04-06T05:37:23.606-07:002010-04-06T05:37:23.606-07:00Also, the constants involved could be *terrible* a...Also, the constants involved could be *terrible* and there are no guarantees about this (not even probabilistic ones). It is nice to reach some ratio in the limit, but if your first Graham's number of guesses are bad, then that is very bad for (almost) all purposes.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5360142294752045303.post-20519164410845429062010-04-06T05:33:59.385-07:002010-04-06T05:33:59.385-07:00We can't use the universal prior in practice u...We can't use the universal prior in practice unless physics contains harnessable non-recursive processes. However, this is exactly the situation in which it doesn't always work. Thus, one source of the 'magic' is through allowing us to have access to higher levels of computation than the phenomena we are predicting (and to be certain of this).Anonymousnoreply@blogger.com